Estimation of the probability of daily fluctuations of incidence of COVID-19 according to official data

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Gerasimov A. N.

2020-09-08

https://doi.org/10.21055/preprints-3111808

A method for analyzing the probabilistic distribution of the number of cases or deaths over adjacent days has been developed. When it was used, it was obtained that the official data on COVID-19 are artificially smoothed out - the jumps in the incidence are significantly less than expected.

Ссылка для цитирования:

Gerasimov A. N. 2020. Estimation of the probability of daily fluctuations of incidence of COVID-19 according to official data. COVID19-PREPRINTS.MICROBE.RU. https://doi.org/10.21055/preprints-3111808

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